The avalanche that hit math is coming for AI development

The author argues that superintelligent AI could arrive by 2030, or possibly even sooner, based on recent evidence that AI systems are dramatically accelerating AI research itself. He points to concrete examples showing that major AI labs like Anthropic and OpenAI are increasingly using AI to conduct R&D work, with AI now handling over 26% of Anthropic's research tasks as of August. The rapid advancement of AI capabilities in mathematics serves as a preview of how quickly AI could automate AI research itself, potentially compressing years of progress into a single year.