Show HN: I simulated closing the Strait of Hormuz on real oil trade data - AllTheNews.today

Show HN: I simulated closing the Strait of Hormuz on real oil trade data

A researcher created a simulation modeling the economic impact of closing the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil chokepoint, using real trade data and supply chain network modeling. The interactive tool allows users to test different disruption scenarios—from a 70% capacity loss over 12 weeks to extreme stress scenarios—and shows how oil prices, trade flows, and emergency stockpiles would be affected, accounting for alternative pipeline routes and endogenous market adjustments. The simulation reveals systemic vulnerabilities in global crude oil supply chains but explicitly notes it is a stress test, not a forecast, and doesn't account for unreported trade or government rationing policies.
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