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Kevin Kelly's 2016 AI Predictions, 10 Years Later
Kevin Kelly predicted in 2016 that by 2026, Google's main product would be AI rather than search, arguing that Google has been using search queries to train its AI systems rather than the reverse. Ten years later, Kelly reflects on this prediction and Google's strategic acquisitions of AI and robotics companies, noting that the company's massive data collection and computing resources position it to develop unrivaled AI capabilities. Kelly also predicted an "oligarchy of two or three large, general-purpose cloud-based commercial intelligences," suggesting that AI development would be dominated by a few major commercial platforms.
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