I love LLMs, I hate hype

The author is enthusiastic about AI progress and LLMs but criticizes the surrounding hype—particularly doomsday narratives designed to create fear and exaggerated claims about AI's transformative power. They argue that frontier AI labs will likely fail to capture the value created by AI because progress stems primarily from Moore's Law and general computing advancement rather than their specific innovations, and that the industry's anti-open-source stance is driven by fear of commodification rather than genuine safety concerns.