Brazil Election: Prediction Markets Outperform Polls in the First Round

Flávio Bolsonaro outpaced incumbent president Lula in the first round of the Brazilian presidential election, with 47.03% of the vote against 45.16%, sending the outcome to a runoff on October 25. Polls showed Lula winning; predictive platforms, however, had seen the senator's lead since September. A contradiction that revives the debate on their reliability, although they are blocked in Brazil. L’article Brazil Election: Prediction Markets Out…